Narrative scenario analysis

Scenarios play a central role in scientific research of possible and plausible futures. In contrast to numeric scenarios, which mainly consist of numbers and mathematical functions, narrative scenarios take the form of a story. This has the advantage over other approaches that actors and institutions with the power to act can also be systematically included in the analysis. For further considerations on the advantages and disadvantages of narrative scenarios, see:

• Steinmüller, Karlheinz. 2018. „Narrative Scenarios as an Analytical Instrument“. S. 23–35 in Envisioning Uncertain Futures: Scenarios as a Tool in Security, Privacy and Mobility Research, edited by R. Peperhove, K. Steinmüller, and H.-L. Dienel. Wiesbaden: Springer.
• Gaßner, Robert, und Karlheinz Steinmüller. 2018. „Scenarios That Tell a Story: Normative Narrative Scenarios - an Efficient Tool for Participative Innovation-Oriented Foresight“. S. 37–48 in Envisioning Uncertain Futures: Scenarios as a Tool in Security, Privacy and Mobility Research, edited by R. Peperhove, K. Steinmüller, and H.-L. Dienel. Wiesbaden: Springer.

The Z-T-G team uses narrative scenarios in the Z-T-G 002 Hydrogen project by asking international experts to write down their visions of the global hydrogen future.